每日自动更新 · 数据截至 2026-08-18 10:10 北京(快照 stats_snapshot_daily·md5 清单) · 只含已收官局(在飞单列不进胜负)· 校验(与 dp_net 全量交叉核)全绿才覆盖本页,红=保留上一版并报警 · ⚠️ HASH 机的局暂不含(扩容另单)
口径:分局/净额=镜像 dp_net(分局锚n==1·赔付名义15×±0.09/注·DP_RECON定案),与 dp_net 全量交叉核通过才出 | 已结算=达标收官/bust/bail停/recon定案;在飞与中途停不进胜负 | 理论:裸跑=表文件reach_prob·带bail=_bail_reach;bail前历史局(bail=None)按裸跑理论对比 | 日闸历史停局账本无标记,落「中途停」桶 | 玩法身份=(cap,target,bail)+表指纹逐注核;指纹不符/无表→无法归类桶如实列
局总数 273 · 归类 259 · 无法归类 14(明细见 JSON)
| 玩法(悬停=class_id) | 总尝试 | 入胜率 | 异常/停 | 胜/负 | 实践 | 95%CI | 理论 | 差 | CI判 | 净$(全) | 均/尝试 | 均/结算局 | 设计最坏 | 观察最深 | 连败 | 状态 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DP 30→60 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 18/20 | 47.4% | 32%~63% | 47.2% | +0.1% | 在CI内 | -51.20 | -1.28 | -1.56 | −30 | -30.0 | 3 | {'中途停(原因账本不可辨)': 2, '达标收官': 18, 'bust': 20} |
| DP 30→40 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 20/5 | 80.0% | 61%~91% | 71.5% | +8.5% | 在CI内 | +59.88 | 2.14 | 2.2 | −30 | -30.0 | 1 | {'中途停(原因账本不可辨)': 1, '达标收官': 20, '中了未达标(异常)': 2, 'bust': 5} |
| DP 90→119 刹44 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 17/11 | 60.7% | 42%~76% | 58.4% | +2.3% | 在CI内 | -14.08 | -0.5 | -0.5 | −46 | -48.99 | 2 | {'达标收官': 17, 'bail停': 11} |
| DP 180→185 刹110 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17/1 | 94.4% | 74%~99% | 91.4% | +3.0% | 在CI内 | +15.01 | 0.83 | 0.83 | −70 | -70.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 17, 'bail停': 1} |
| DP 40→60 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 8/7 | 53.3% | 30%~75% | 63.7% | -10.4% | 在CI内 | -119.02 | -7.93 | -7.93 | −40 | -40.0 | 5 | {'达标收官': 8, 'bust': 7} |
| DP 90→119 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13/2 | 86.7% | 62%~96% | 72.8% | +13.8% | 在CI内 | +197.94 | 13.2 | 13.2 | −90 | -90.0 | 2 | {'达标收官': 13, 'bust': 2} |
| DP 180→200 刹125 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9/4 | 69.2% | 42%~87% | 70.5% | -1.3% | 在CI内 | -40.00 | -3.08 | -3.08 | −55 | -55.0 | 2 | {'达标收官': 9, 'bail停': 4} |
| DP 40→48 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 6/5 | 54.5% | 28%~79% | 80.4% | -25.9% | 探索性异常(多重比较未校正·n=11) | -156.04 | -13.0 | -13.64 | −40 | -40.0 | 2 | {'达标收官': 6, 'bust': 5, '中途停(原因账本不可辨)': 1} |
| DP 40→53 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10/0 | 100.0% | 72%~100% | 72.2% | +27.8% | 探索性异常(多重比较未校正·n=10) | +127.93 | 10.66 | 13.19 | −40 | 13.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 10, '孤儿断局·链上已结案': 1, '中途停(原因账本不可辨)': 1} |
| DP 30→45 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 4/3 | 57.1% | 25%~84% | 63.2% | -6.0% | 在CI内 | -4.00 | -0.36 | -4.14 | −30 | -30.0 | 3 | {'达标收官': 4, '中途停(原因账本不可辨)': 1, '中了未达标(异常)': 3, 'bust': 3} |
| DP 35→55 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6/3 | 66.7% | 35%~88% | 60.5% | +6.1% | 在CI内 | +17.65 | 1.96 | 1.96 | −35 | -35.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 6, 'bust': 3} |
| DP 40→55 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6/1 | 85.7% | 49%~97% | 69.3% | +16.4% | 在CI内 | +52.91 | 7.56 | 7.56 | −40 | -40.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 6, 'bust': 1} |
| DP 30→38 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2/2 | 50.0% | 15%~85% | 75.6% | -25.6% | 在CI内 | -41.00 | -8.2 | -11.0 | −30 | -30.0 | 2 | {'达标收官': 2, 'bust': 2, '中了未达标(异常)': 1} |
| DP 30→50 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2/3 | 40.0% | 12%~77% | 57.0% | -17.0% | 在CI内 | -50.00 | -10.0 | -10.0 | −30 | -30.0 | 2 | {'达标收官': 2, 'bust': 3} |
| DP 40→50 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4/0 | 100.0% | 51%~100% | 77.0% | +23.0% | 在CI内 | +35.97 | 7.19 | 10.24 | −40 | 10.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 4, '孤儿断局·链上已结案': 1} |
| DP 60→90 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4/1 | 80.0% | 38%~96% | 63.8% | +16.2% | 在CI内 | +60.00 | 12.0 | 12.0 | −60 | -60.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 4, 'bust': 1} |
| DP 40→65 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2/1 | 66.7% | 21%~94% | 58.5% | +8.2% | 在CI内 | +9.00 | 2.25 | 3.33 | −40 | -40.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 2, 'bust': 1, '孤儿断局·链上已结案': 1} |
| DP 40→51 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3/0 | 100.0% | 44%~100% | 75.3% | +24.6% | 在CI内 | +33.00 | 11.0 | 11.0 | −40 | 11.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 3} |
| DP 40→67 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2/1 | 66.7% | 21%~94% | 56.6% | +10.0% | 在CI内 | +14.00 | 4.67 | 4.67 | −40 | -40.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 2, 'bust': 1} |
| DP 40→70 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2/1 | 66.7% | 21%~94% | 54.1% | +12.6% | 在CI内 | +20.97 | 6.99 | 6.99 | −40 | -40.0 | 1 | {'达标收官': 2, 'bust': 1} |
| DP 30→55 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/1 | 50.0% | 9%~91% | 51.5% | -1.5% | 在CI内 | -4.03 | -2.02 | -2.02 | −30 | -30.0 | 1 | {'bust': 1, '达标收官': 1} |
| DP 40→73 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/1 | 50.0% | 9%~91% | 51.8% | -1.8% | 在CI内 | -7.00 | -3.5 | -3.5 | −40 | -40.0 | 1 | {'bust': 1, '达标收官': 1} |
| 三步表 55→75 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2/0 | 100.0% | 34%~100% | 70.5% | +29.5% | 在CI内 | +40.00 | 20.0 | 20.0 | −55 | 20.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 2} |
| DP 60→80 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2/0 | 100.0% | 34%~100% | 72.2% | +27.8% | 在CI内 | +40.00 | 20.0 | 20.0 | −60 | 20.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 2} |
| DP 60→120 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0/2 | 0.0% | 0%~66% | 47.4% | -47.4% | 在CI内 | -120.00 | -60.0 | -60.0 | −60 | -60.0 | 2 | {'bust': 2} |
| DP 180→200 刹110 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2/0 | 100.0% | 34%~100% | 75.1% | +24.9% | 在CI内 | +40.00 | 20.0 | 20.0 | −70 | 20.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 2} |
| DP 40→80 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0.0% | 0%~79% | 47.3% | -47.3% | 在CI内 | -40.00 | -40.0 | -40.0 | −40 | -40.0 | 1 | {'bust': 1} |
| DP 60→72 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1/0 | 100.0% | 21%~100% | 80.5% | +19.5% | 在CI内 | +12.00 | 12.0 | 12.0 | −60 | 12.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 1} |
| DP 60→78 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0.0% | 0%~79% | 74.1% | -74.1% | 在CI内 | -60.00 | -60.0 | -60.0 | −60 | -60.0 | 1 | {'bust': 1} |
| DP 60→105 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0.0% | 0%~79% | 54.3% | -54.3% | 在CI内 | -60.00 | -60.0 | -60.0 | −60 | -60.0 | 1 | {'bust': 1} |
| DP 95→115 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0.0% | 0%~79% | 79.7% | -79.7% | 探索性异常(多重比较未校正·n=1) | -95.00 | -95.0 | -95.0 | −95 | -95.0 | 1 | {'bust': 1} |
| DP 180→190 刹120 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1/0 | 100.0% | 21%~100% | 84.2% | +15.8% | 在CI内 | +10.00 | 10.0 | 10.0 | −60 | 10.0 | 0 | {'达标收官': 1} |